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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">cndcgs</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Challenges to national defence in contemporary geopolitical situation</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">2538-8959</issn>
      <issn pub-type="ppub">2669-2023</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>LKA</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">36_2026_GAJARKOVA</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.47459/cndcgs.2026.36</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Modeling the Spread of Disinformation Using the SEDPNR Epidemiological Model</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>GAJÁRKOVÁ</surname>
            <given-names>Tereza</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_cndcgs_aff_000"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_cndcgs_aff_000">Faculty of Military Leadership, University of Defence, Czech Republic</aff>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>HASILOVÁ</surname>
            <given-names>Kamila</given-names>
          </name>
          <email xlink:href="mailto:kamila.hasilova@unob.cz">kamila.hasilova@unob.cz</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_cndcgs_aff_001"/>
          <xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor2">∗∗</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_cndcgs_aff_001">Faculty of Military Leadership, University of Defence, Czech Republic</aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes>
        <corresp id="cor2"><label>∗∗</label>Corresponding author.</corresp>
      </author-notes>
      <volume>2026</volume>
      <issue>1</issue>
      <fpage>320</fpage>
      <lpage>327</lpage>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>01</day>
        <month>07</month>
        <year>2026</year>
      </pub-date>
      <permissions>
        <license license-type="open-access">
          <license-p>Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY)</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <p>This article focuses on modeling the spread of disinformation narratives on social media using the SEDPNR epidemiological model, an extension of the basic SEIR model that takes into account the specifics of digital communication. This includes the existence of a "doubt" phase and the division of active users according to their sentiment polarity. The analyzed data describe a specific disinformation narrative, “Biolabs Ukraine,” that spread in connection with the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The results demonstrate that the dissemination of the narrative exhibits characteristics of an infodemic wave: a rapid increase, a brief peak, and a subsequent decline. The analysis confirms the significant role of active users and shows that supportive and critical reactions both contribute to the further dissemination of content.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <label>Keywords</label>
        <kwd>disinformation</kwd>
        <kwd>information warfare</kwd>
        <kwd>SEDPNR model</kwd>
        <kwd>epidemiological modeling</kwd>
        <kwd>social media</kwd>
        <kwd>sentiment analysis</kwd>
        <kwd>narrative</kwd>
        <kwd>infodemic</kwd>
        <kwd>hybrid conflict</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
