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  6. Towards Economic Security Via Forecastin ...

Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues

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Towards Economic Security Via Forecasting of Costs
Volume 13, Issue 1 (2023), pp. 133–142
Bartosz Kozicki ORCID icon link to view author Bartosz Kozicki details   Kacper Kumor ORCID icon link to view author Kacper Kumor details   Jarosław Zelkowski ORCID icon link to view author Jarosław Zelkowski details   Andrzej Glen ORCID icon link to view author Andrzej Glen details   Dariusz Latosiewicz ORCID icon link to view author Dariusz Latosiewicz details  

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https://doi.org/10.47459/jssi.2023.13.13
Pub. online: 10 July 2023      Type: Article      Open accessOpen Access

Received
25 January 2023
Accepted
15 June 2023
Published
10 July 2023

Abstract

The study attempts to forecast the total costs of a company in Poland. The first stage of the research was analyzing and evaluating the time series of total costs. It detected: trends, seasonality and a random factor. This became a premise for the application of two methods for forecasting: Holt-Winters’ multiplicative and additive. The research shows that the Holt-Winters’ multiplicative model proved to be better in forecasting total costs in the research subject. The forecasted total costs from July to December 2022 will reach PLN 45 395 685, while from January to December 2023, their value will amount to PLN 85 948 927.

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Keywords
costs economic security forecasting COVID-19 planning

JEL
D24 E17

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690

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Generolo Jono Žemaičio Lietuvos karo akademija Šilo g. 5A., LT-10322 Vilnius, el.p: lka@mil.lt

General Jonas Žemaitis Military Academy of Lithuania  Šilo Str. 5A, LT-10322 Vilnius, Lithuania, e-mail: lka@mil.lt

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