Towards Economic Security Via Forecasting of Costs
Volume 13, Issue 1 (2023), pp. 133–142
Pub. online: 10 July 2023
Type: Article
Open Access
Received
25 January 2023
25 January 2023
Accepted
15 June 2023
15 June 2023
Published
10 July 2023
10 July 2023
Abstract
The study attempts to forecast the total costs of a company in Poland. The first stage of the research was analyzing and evaluating the time series of total costs. It detected: trends, seasonality and a random factor. This became a premise for the application of two methods for forecasting: Holt-Winters’ multiplicative and additive. The research shows that the Holt-Winters’ multiplicative model proved to be better in forecasting total costs in the research subject. The forecasted total costs from July to December 2022 will reach PLN 45 395 685, while from January to December 2023, their value will amount to PLN 85 948 927.